Jeanne Socrates Oldest Person solo RTW attempt

[Foolish]

Spoke to Jeanne. She hopes to catch the ebb tide on Sunday afternoon. (For those of you from other parts, the tides are very strong through Race Passage, near Victoria. A strong ebb tide will push her at 5 knots for several miles).

On another point, yesterday the news reported that a container ship had dumped a bunch of containers just at the entrance to the Juan da Fuca Strait, where Jeanne will be passing 12 hours after she leaves the dock.

Lost shipping containers trigger warning for Vancouver Island mariners - British Columbia - CBC News

[pdxsailordiver]

Originally Posted by Foolish

Spoke to Jeanne. She hopes to catch the ebb tide on Sunday afternoon. (For those of you from other parts, the tides are very strong through Race Passage, near Victoria. A strong ebb tide will push her at 5 knots for several miles).

On another point, yesterday the news reported that a container ship had dumped a bunch of containers just at the entrance to the Juan da Fuca Strait, where Jeanne will be passing 12 hours after she leaves the dock.

Lost shipping containers trigger warning for Vancouver Island mariners - British Columbia - CBC News

Wow has she looked at the off shore forecast for Washington and oregon for the next week?
Headed South really?

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[Cadence]

Originally Posted by pdxsailordiver

Wow has she looked at the off shore forecast for Washington and oregon for the next week?
Headed South really?

Sent from my SM-T530NU using Cruisers Sailing Forum mobile app

That response made not sense relative to the quote?

[pdxsailordiver]

"She hopes to catch the Ebb Sunday afternoon"
PZZ150-130130-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FLATTERY TO JAMES ISLAND OUT 10 NM-
900 AM PST SAT NOV 12 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PST TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON PST TODAY THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT BECOMING W 20 TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. COMBINED SEAS 12 TO 15 FT WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 15
SECONDS. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT BECOMING S 20 TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FT. W SWELL 12 FT
AT 13 SECONDS SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AT 12 SECONDS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT BECOMING S 30 TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
COMBINED SEAS 8 TO 11 FT WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 12 SECONDS
BUILDING TO 12 TO 13 FT WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 9 SECONDS. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT BECOMING W TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
COMBINED SEAS 14 TO 17 FT WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 11 SECONDS
SUBSIDING TO 12 TO 13 FT WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 12 SECONDS.
.MON...S WIND 5 TO 15 KT. WIND WAVES 1 OR 2 FT. W SWELL 10 FT AT 11
SECONDS.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 5 TO 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND
WAVES 1 OR 2 FT. W SWELL 9 FT AT 11 SECONDS.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT. W SWELL 13 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT BECOMING S TO 10 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT.
W SWELL 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT.


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[JPA Cate]

pdxsailordiver,

I am positive she does have weather advice. She's leaving into a prediction of somewhat improving conditions. It IS very strong noserly condx, but if she is to get away this year, she has little choice but to do it, or she'll miss her Cape Horn weather window. These are home waters for her, the Southern Ocean, not so much. Imho, it is a calculated risk. She'll be using short sail, for sure, but she really does need to get south. The containers worry me.......as well as the wx. Sailing to a schedule, even one created by nature, can be the pits.

Thanks for posting the f/c. The f/c wind strengths are averages, as you may know, and she will see higher over the deck, and lower, as well.

Ann

[pdxsailordiver]

Ann
I wish her nothing but a safe adventure.
This area is my home waters. I have been cruising this area for 30 plus years.

[DeepFrz]

I'm not an expert weather forecaster but I've been looking at the Ocean Prediction Center forecasts and she may have a window of moderate W and NW wind Mon. night through Wed. as she makes her way south. There is a high pressure ridge moving through the area's involved. It may be moving to quickly though for her to take full advantage of it.

[groundtackle]

Couldnt be better, a little light perhaps.
ce

[Foolish]

Jeanne did get away yesterday afternoon, into a huge ebb tide that promised to rush her on her voyage. But with very light winds she wasn't even able to make it to Race Passage to benefit from the ebb. I could tell she was bored when she started sending me text messages. She would still have been in sight of Victoria Harbour at that point.

After a long drifting night she's just a bit down the strait now.

These big tides are caused by the beautiful SuperMoon that we had last night. When I woke up at 4 this morning it looked like the sun was shining through our window.

[groundtackle]

Light in the strait, late again? Hate to see her waste all the sweet westerly outside this week. Then beating all next fri - sun.
Go Jeanne!

[barnakiel]

I looked at her gribs and radiofaxes yesterday and it seemed there may be another bash like the one she was thru before. I did not like what I saw but I am not very well versed in that area.

I hope the forecast will not develop as calculated yesterday.

Is it real optimum departure time from Canada? Looks like the windows are very narrow unless one gets very lucky.

b.

[JPA Cate]

Originally Posted by barnakiel

I looked at her gribs and radiofaxes yesterday and it seemed there may be another bash like the one she was thru before. I did not like what I saw but I am not very well versed in that area.

I hope the forecast will not develop as calculated yesterday.

Is it real optimum departure time from Canada? Looks like the windows are very narrow unless one gets very lucky.

b.

I believe the need to get away this time of year is determined by her need to get around the Cape Horn during the southern hemisphere summer.

Ann

[El Pinguino]

Originally Posted by Ann T. Cate

I believe the need to get away this time of year is determined by her need to get around the Cape Horn during the southern hemisphere summer.

Ann

I thought that determined her need to get away some weeks ago... to be off the Horn by December 21stish ( ie 5 weeks from now ). When does this new departure time put her south of NZ?

[Don C L]

Looks like Jeanne may get her window if forecast holds and she can get south a ways before Friday...

[barnakiel]

Originally Posted by Don C L

Looks like Jeanne may get her window if forecast holds and she can get south a ways before Friday...

Don,

Are we looking at different wx data, or am I looking at the wrong part of the world?

See the image attached. Forgive me if I say something stupid. I do not know N Pacific at all.

b.