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Old 19-03-2009, 03:02   #1
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ANOTHER frikkin Cyclone!

Whoever was the dunce that decided we should pop in here during the cyclone season has just confirmed a low has just turned into a Tropical Low

Quote:
Name: Tropical Low
Identifier: 19U
Data At: 0600 UTC
Latitude: 16.9S
Longitude: 155.0E
Location Accuracy: within 60 nm [110 km]
Movement Towards: south southwest [200 deg]
Speed of Movement: 4 knots [7 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 25 knots [45 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 35 knots [65 km/h]
Central Pressure: 999 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds: n/a
Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.0/2.0/D1.0/12HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1000 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 90 nm [165 km]
Storm Depth: Shallow
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 19/1800: 17.7S 154.2E: 090 [165]: 030 [055]: 995
+24: 20/0600: 17.5S 153.1E: 120 [220]: 030 [055]: 995
+36: 20/1800: 16.8S 152.6E: 150 [280]: 035 [065]: 992
+48: 21/0600: 15.4S 152.2E: 185 [345]: 050 [095]: 984
+60: 21/1800: 14.6S 152.5E: 230 [430]: 060 [110]: 975
+72: 22/0600: 14.6S 154.0E: 290 [535]: 065 [120]: 973
REMARKS:
Irregular vis CDO pattern. DT is 2.0. MET is 1.5. PAT is 2.0. Final T is 2.0.
System expected to be slow moving in a weak steering environment during the next
24 to 48 hours. Slow to average deepening forecast under weak shear.
We already have a Gale Warning:

Central Coast Waters, Bowen to St Lawrence:
A gale warning is current.
Thursday until midnight: S/SE winds 20/33 knots, increasing to 34/40 knots tonight. Seas rising 3 to 4 metres in open waters. Scattered showers.
Friday: SE winds 34/40 knots. Seas 3 to 4 metres in open waters. Scattered showers.
Saturday: SE winds 20/30 knots.
Sunday: SE winds 20/30 knots. Wind strength and direction dependent on low movement and development.
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Old 19-03-2009, 04:14   #2
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But now you are experienced and so it isn't scary at all... right.. just run of the mill...

Good luck.
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Old 19-03-2009, 04:36   #3
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But now you are experienced and so it isn't scary at all... right.. just run of the mill...

Good luck.
Yes Its just a downer because we wanted some nice weather to go snorkeling. The only nice day since the last one we were over at Arile beach provisioning! LOL

They will name it Jasper later tonight or tomorrow...

Why don't they have Butch names like... Mark or Frank?
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Old 19-03-2009, 04:40   #4
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I think you are threatening enough to the Pacific all on your own without having a cyclone named for you.
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Old 19-03-2009, 05:07   #5
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Well at least you know where to go. But hopefully this one is just going to head out to sea.......hopefully.
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Old 19-03-2009, 05:09   #6
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Yes Its just a downer because we wanted some nice weather to go snorkeling. The only nice day since the last one we were over at Arile beach provisioning! LOL
Stop bellyaching. You are spoiled.
Maybe during this one you can play cards or Tiddlywinks.

Have fun man.

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Old 19-03-2009, 05:28   #7
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Mark,

You need to consider re-naming your boat...
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Old 19-03-2009, 14:23   #8
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Mark,

You need to consider re-naming your boat...
You funny man, Hud!

I will show Nicolle when she wakes up... prolly this afternoon



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Old 19-03-2009, 15:54   #9
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Life is really boring here in Phoenix. No storms, cyclones, mangroves or dragging anchors. I am immersed in an ocean of dull.

But thanks to you, I now have a vicarious adventure in my life. I can check the weather charts and follow the cyclone drama on internet.

Thanks for sailing north and giving me this opportunity for adventure. Keep up the good work.
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Old 19-03-2009, 18:55   #10
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This is why we delay the trip Nth until after April. The stinger season is coupled to the cyclone season as well!! But hay you are both young & need the adventure. Read the signs about critters about Hinchinbrook if you are heading there. A friend disregarded the warings & found one grinning at him which increased his heart rate. They really like fresh from Sydney!!

How is Nicholle progressing with the soldering? I lost your email address & was going to send her some tips.

Regards Bill
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Old 19-03-2009, 19:06   #11
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Quote:
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Mark,

You need to consider re-naming your boat...
Excellent work, Hud. You know, with a name like Cyclone Magnet, you would probably have a lot of anchorages to yourself.

TaoJones
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Old 20-03-2009, 01:01   #12
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Quote:
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. The stinger season is coupled to the cyclone season as well!! But hay you are both young & need the adventure.
Yeah, we have stinger suits and if I spray them with insect repelant someone said crocs won't attack?
Sorry thats probably a poor joke at the moment

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How is Nicholle progressing with the soldering? I lost your email address & was going to send her some tips.

Regards Bill
We had a soldering job the other day but it was 3 wires to a circuit board so I took it into a computer shop and the guy did it in a jiffy and charged not much. He asked me why I didnt take it to the Marine Electronics guy at the likety-split marina....

Re the cyclone: It seems to be imploding on itself and may dissapear up a cloud of.. cloud

Incidently I found a weather forum and the geeks on it are totally pissed off the cyclone isn't intensifying and going to cream their front doorsteps

They use seriously big words on their forum! But I know a disgruntled geek when I see one (Has anyone seen a gruntled one?)


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Old 21-03-2009, 10:20   #13
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Mark,
Looks like we can (maybe) stop worrying for now... Yippeee!!!

And, I fear that the gruntilization of geeks is a lost art... if you tried to do it, they's just whup you with the big words anyway!

Cheers,
Jim
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Old 21-03-2009, 14:13   #14
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I too have been watching your postings re the cyclones. I just hope that you continue to use them all up, as I hope to be heading up there in about a month or so from NSW Central Coast. It will be my first trip South to North against the current.
It is going to be slow going in my boat but Im looking forward to the trip and of course the destination
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Old 21-03-2009, 14:19   #15
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Neil - stay as close in to shore as you feel comfortable on the way up, certainly stay no wider than the 20 metre contour and you will avoid the worst of the EAC.
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